SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.75
xG Away 1.29
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 60%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives SV Elversberg an expected 1.7 goals and FC Augsburg an expected 1.3 goals. SV Elversberg have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and FC Augsburg at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.8%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.3%
2:0 7.3%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.2%
2:2 6.1%
3:1 5.5%
0:0 4.8%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4%
3:2 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick SV Elversberg Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Venue Form

SV Elversberg at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
FC Augsburg Away
W3 D0 L1 (4 games)
75% win rate

Recent Form

SV Elversberg
L
FC Augsburg
W W W L