1
33%
Home Win
3.06
X
29%
Draw
3.45
2
38%
Away Win
2.61
xG Home
1.05
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sunderland an expected 1.1 goals and Brighton an expected 1.2 goals. Sunderland have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Brighton at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
0:1
12.7%
1:0
11.5%
0:0
10.9%
1:2
7.8%
0:2
7.4%
2:1
7%
2:0
6%
2:2
4.1%
1:3
3%
0:3
2.9%
3:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brighton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Sunderland | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 8 |
| 54 | Points | 53 |
| 37% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Sunderland at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Brighton Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sunderland
L
D
L
Brighton
W
L
D
W
