1
61%
Home Win
1.65
X
20%
Draw
4.93
2
19%
Away Win
5.25
xG Home
2.14
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Manchester United an expected 2.1 goals and Tottenham an expected 1.1 goals. Manchester United have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Tottenham at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.8%
1:1
9.2%
2:0
8.8%
1:0
8.2%
3:1
7%
3:0
6.3%
2:2
5.5%
1:2
5.2%
0:1
4.3%
3:2
3.9%
0:0
3.8%
4:1
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Manchester United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Manchester United | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 17 |
| 71 | Points | 41 |
| 53% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Manchester United at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Tottenham Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Manchester United
L
W
W
Tottenham
D
W
W
