1
14%
Home Win
7.03
X
25%
Draw
4.04
2
61%
Away Win
1.64
xG Home
0.62
xG Away
1.59
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sunderland an expected 0.6 goals and Arsenal an expected 1.6 goals. Sunderland have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Arsenal at 61%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
17.5%
0:2
13.9%
0:0
11%
1:1
10.8%
1:2
8.6%
0:3
7.4%
1:0
6.8%
1:3
4.5%
2:1
3.3%
0:4
2.9%
2:2
2.6%
2:0
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Arsenal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Sunderland | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 1 |
| 54 | Points | 85 |
| 37% | Win % | 68% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.87 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
Venue Form
Sunderland at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Arsenal Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Sunderland
D
L
Arsenal
W
L
