1
29%
Home Win
3.4
X
23%
Draw
4.3
2
47%
Away Win
2.11
xG Home
1.34
xG Away
1.76
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Strasbourg an expected 1.3 goals and Lens an expected 1.8 goals. Strasbourg have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Lens at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.6%
1:2
9.3%
0:1
7.9%
2:1
7.1%
0:2
6.9%
2:2
6.3%
1:0
6%
1:3
5.5%
0:0
4.5%
0:3
4.1%
2:0
4%
2:3
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lens Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Strasbourg | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 2 |
| 53 | Points | 70 |
| 44% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Strasbourg at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Lens Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Strasbourg
L
L
W
Lens
D
D
