Strasbourg vs Auxerre — Prediction

2 – 2
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Ligue 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Strasbourg
  • Rennes FC 3–0 Strasbourg
  • Paris FC 2–1 Strasbourg
  • Strasbourg 1–1 Monaco
  • Estac Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg
  • Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Strasbourg
Auxerre
  • Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans
  • Auxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
  • Auxerre 0–0 Nice
  • Auxerre 2–1 Nice
  • Auxerre 3–1 Angers
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Strasbourg 8 · Auxerre 8. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Strasbourg 45% · 2026-10-31 10:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.40
Model goal expectation · 2 2.06
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
BTTS 79%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Strasbourg 2.40 · Auxerre 2.06.
1 47% · X 19% · 2 34%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:2 7.1%
2:1 6.9%
1:2 5.9%
1:1 5.7%
3:2 5.7%
3:1 5.5%
2:3 4.8%
1:3 4%
3:3 3.9%
4:2 3.4%
2:0 3.3%
4:1 3.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Strasbourg Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Strasbourg Auxerre
16 League Position 12
7 Points 10
25% Win % 38%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2.25

Venue Form

Strasbourg at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Strasbourg
L L D W W
Auxerre
D W D W W