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Estac Troyes vs Le Mans — Prediction

Estac Troyes Estac Troyes
0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Ligue 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Le Mans Le Mans

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Estac Troyes
  • Toulouse 0–0 Estac Troyes
  • Angers 2–0 Estac Troyes
  • Lille 2–0 Estac Troyes
  • Estac Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg
Le Mans
  • Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans
  • Le Mans 2–1 Lorient
  • Le Mans 2–2 Lens
  • Nice 1–1 Le Mans
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Estac Troyes 8 · Le Mans 8. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Le Mans 49% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 20%
Home Win 5.04
X 24%
Draw 4.13
2 56%
Away Win 1.79
Model goal expectation · 1 0.89
Model goal expectation · 2 1.68
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 48%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Estac Troyes 0.89 · Le Mans 1.68.
1 20% · X 24% · 2 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 12.9%
1:1 11.5%
0:2 10.8%
1:2 9.6%
0:0 7.7%
1:0 6.8%
0:3 6%
1:3 5.4%
2:1 5.1%
2:2 4.3%
2:0 3%
0:4 2.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Le Mans Win
Probability 56%
Predicted Odds 1.79

Team Comparison

Estac Troyes Le Mans
17 League Position 15
5 Points 7
13% Win % 13%
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2

Venue Form

Estac Troyes at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
Le Mans Away
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Estac Troyes
D L L L
Le Mans
D W D D

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