Paris FC vs Monaco — Prediction

1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Ligue 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Paris FC
  • Lens 2–1 Paris FC
  • Paris FC 2–1 Strasbourg
  • Paris FC 0–0 Lyon
  • Marseille 2–3 Paris FC
  • Rennes FC 2–1 Paris FC
Monaco
  • Monaco 1–1 Lille
  • Monaco 3–0 SC Freiburg
  • Monaco 2–1 Lens
  • Strasbourg 1–1 Monaco
  • Monaco 0–1 Lille
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Paris FC 8 · Monaco 8. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Paris FC 50% · 2026-10-31 10:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.01
Model goal expectation · 2 0.94
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
BTTS 39%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Paris FC 1.01 · Monaco 0.94.
1 36% · X 31% · 2 33%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.3%
0:0 14.2%
1:1 13.5%
0:1 13.4%
2:0 7.2%
2:1 6.8%
1:2 6.4%
0:2 6.3%
2:2 3.2%
3:0 2.4%
3:1 2.3%
1:3 2%

About this assessment

Model outcome Paris FC Win
Probability 36%
Predicted Odds 2.78

Team Comparison

Paris FC Monaco
5 League Position 4
14 Points 15
50% Win % 50%
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88

Venue Form

Paris FC at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Monaco Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Paris FC
L W D W L
Monaco
D W W D L