1
39%
Home Win
2.6
X
27%
Draw
3.76
2
35%
Away Win
2.87
xG Home
1.32
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Stoke City an expected 1.3 goals and Sheffield United an expected 1.2 goals. Stoke City have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Sheffield United at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
1:0
10.2%
0:1
9.6%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
7.9%
0:0
7.7%
2:0
6.7%
0:2
6%
2:2
5.2%
3:1
3.7%
1:3
3.3%
3:0
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Stoke City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Stoke City | Sheffield United | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 13 |
| 55 | Points | 60 |
| 33% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
Venue Form
Stoke City at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Sheffield United Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Stoke City
W
L
L
Sheffield United
W
W
W
