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Bristol City vs Norwich City — Prediction

Bristol City Bristol City
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Norwich City Norwich City

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Bristol City
  • Bristol City 1–2 Wolves
  • Bolton 2–3 Bristol City
  • Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City
  • Bristol City 0–1 Sheffield United
  • Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn
Norwich City
  • Derby 0–4 Norwich City
  • Norwich City 3–2 Watford
  • Charlton 1–3 Norwich City
  • Norwich City 0–1 Portsmouth FC
  • Norwich City 0–1 Southampton
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Bristol City 46 · Norwich City 46. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Bristol City 41% · 2026-11-06 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.29
Model goal expectation · 2 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 52%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Bristol City 1.29 · Norwich City 1.25.
1 38% · X 27% · 2 36%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.7%
1:0 10.2%
0:1 9.8%
2:1 8.2%
1:2 7.9%
0:0 7.9%
2:0 6.6%
0:2 6.1%
2:2 5.1%
3:1 3.5%
1:3 3.3%
3:0 2.8%

About this assessment

Model outcome Bristol City Win
Probability 38%
Predicted Odds 2.63

Team Comparison

Bristol City Norwich City
12 League Position 9
62 Points 65
37% Win % 41%
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22

Venue Form

Bristol City at Home
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate
Norwich City Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Bristol City
L W D L L
Norwich City
W W W L L

More Championship Predictions

Derby vs Bolton
Fri 06 Nov
Birmingham vs Swansea
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 42%
Blackburn vs West Ham
Sat 07 Nov
Cardiff vs Burnley
Sat 07 Nov
Charlton vs Sheffield United
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 40%

Related saved forecasts

Recorded before kickoff, with the original selection, model probability and timestamp. These cards are a saved-record selection, separate from the main catalogue filters.

All football predictions →

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Bristol City

Team profile and available match context.

Explore →

Norwich City

Team profile and available match context.

Explore →

Championship

League table and competition context.

Explore →

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.