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Portsmouth FC vs Stoke City — Prediction

Portsmouth FC Portsmouth FC
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Stoke City Stoke City

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Portsmouth FC
  • Portsmouth FC 3–1 Swansea
  • Burnley 0–0 Portsmouth FC
  • Portsmouth FC 2–1 Millwall
  • Wolves 1–1 Portsmouth FC
  • Norwich City 0–1 Portsmouth FC
Stoke City
  • Blackburn 1–2 Stoke City
  • Stoke City 2–0 Preston
  • Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City
  • Derby 0–1 Stoke City
  • Stoke City 2–3 Middlesbrough
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Portsmouth FC 46 · Stoke City 46. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Portsmouth FC 40% · 2026-11-06 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.08
Model goal expectation · 2 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
BTTS 44%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Portsmouth FC 1.08 · Stoke City 1.10.
1 35% · X 29% · 2 36%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.4%
0:1 12.5%
1:0 12.3%
0:0 11.4%
1:2 7.4%
2:1 7.2%
0:2 6.9%
2:0 6.6%
2:2 4%
1:3 2.7%
3:1 2.6%
0:3 2.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Stoke City Win
Probability 36%
Predicted Odds 2.78

Team Comparison

Portsmouth FC Stoke City
18 League Position 17
55 Points 55
30% Win % 33%
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22

Venue Form

Portsmouth FC at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Stoke City Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Portsmouth FC
W D W D W
Stoke City
W W D W L

More Championship Predictions

Derby vs Bolton
Fri 06 Nov
Birmingham vs Swansea
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 42%
Blackburn vs West Ham
Sat 07 Nov
Bristol City vs Norwich City
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 38%
Cardiff vs Burnley
Sat 07 Nov

Related saved forecasts

Recorded before kickoff, with the original selection, model probability and timestamp. These cards are a saved-record selection, separate from the main catalogue filters.

All football predictions →

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Portsmouth FC

Team profile and available match context.

Explore →

Stoke City

Team profile and available match context.

Explore →

Championship

League table and competition context.

Explore →

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.