FOOTBALL DATA
Search
Display
Site layout
EN

Birmingham vs Swansea — Prediction

Birmingham Birmingham
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Swansea Swansea

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Birmingham
  • Birmingham 3–0 Millwall
  • Lincoln 1–3 Birmingham
  • Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham
  • Birmingham 3–0 QPR
  • Birmingham 4–0 Preston
Swansea
  • Portsmouth FC 3–1 Swansea
  • Swansea 4–0 Blackburn
  • QPR 5–0 Swansea
  • Swansea 0–1 West Ham
  • Millwall 0–1 Swansea
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Birmingham 46 · Swansea 46. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Birmingham 42% · 2026-11-06 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.32
Model goal expectation · 2 1.07
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS 48%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Birmingham 1.32 · Swansea 1.07.
1 42% · X 27% · 2 30%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.9%
1:0 12.1%
0:1 9.8%
0:0 9.2%
2:1 8.5%
2:0 8%
1:2 6.9%
0:2 5.3%
2:2 4.6%
3:1 3.7%
3:0 3.5%
1:3 2.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Birmingham Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38

Team Comparison

Birmingham Swansea
10 League Position 11
64 Points 64
37% Win % 39%
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28

Venue Form

Birmingham at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Swansea Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Birmingham
W W L W W
Swansea
L W L L W

More Championship Predictions

Derby vs Bolton
Fri 06 Nov
Blackburn vs West Ham
Sat 07 Nov
Bristol City vs Norwich City
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 38%
Cardiff vs Burnley
Sat 07 Nov
Charlton vs Sheffield United
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 40%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Match pages

Open fixtures, match information and available analysis.

Explore →

Football predictions

Explore the available match catalogue and its filters.

Explore →

Prediction results

Inspect available settled selections and their outcomes.

Explore →

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.