1
34%
Home Win
2.92
X
28%
Draw
3.53
2
37%
Away Win
2.67
xG Home
1.12
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Stoke City an expected 1.1 goals and Norwich City an expected 1.2 goals. Stoke City have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Norwich City at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.2%
0:1
11.8%
1:0
11.2%
0:0
10%
1:2
7.8%
2:1
7.4%
0:2
7%
2:0
6.3%
2:2
4.4%
1:3
3.1%
0:3
2.8%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Norwich City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Stoke City | Norwich City | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 9 |
| 55 | Points | 65 |
| 33% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Stoke City at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Norwich City Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Stoke City
L
L
Norwich City
L
W
D
