1
34%
Home Win
2.96
X
25%
Draw
3.95
2
41%
Away Win
2.44
xG Home
1.31
xG Away
1.47
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Stade Brestois 29 an expected 1.3 goals and Toulouse an expected 1.5 goals. Stade Brestois 29 have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Toulouse at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
0:1
9.1%
1:2
8.8%
1:0
8.1%
2:1
7.8%
0:2
6.7%
0:0
6.2%
2:2
5.7%
2:0
5.3%
1:3
4.3%
3:1
3.4%
0:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Toulouse Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Stade Brestois 29 | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 9 |
| 39 | Points | 45 |
| 29% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Stade Brestois 29 at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Toulouse Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Stade Brestois 29
L
D
W
Toulouse
W
