Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 13 May 2026 · Ligue 1
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.33
xG Away 1.81
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
BTTS 62%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Stade Brestois 29 an expected 1.3 goals and Strasbourg an expected 1.8 goals. Stade Brestois 29 have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Strasbourg at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.4%
1:2 9.4%
0:1 7.8%
0:2 7.1%
2:1 7%
2:2 6.3%
1:0 5.8%
1:3 5.7%
0:0 4.3%
0:3 4.2%
2:0 3.9%
2:3 3.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Strasbourg Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04
Market Odds 2.17

Team Comparison

Stade Brestois 29 Strasbourg
12 League Position 8
39 Points 53
29% Win % 44%
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38

Venue Form

Stade Brestois 29 at Home
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate
Strasbourg Away
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate

Recent Form

Stade Brestois 29
L L D W
Strasbourg
L W W D W

Head to Head

30 Nov 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1 : 2 Stade Brestois 29
W
23 Feb 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0 : 0 Stade Brestois 29
D
30 Nov 2024 Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3 : 1 Strasbourg
W