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Le Mans vs Monaco — Prediction

Le Mans Le Mans
0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Ligue 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Monaco Monaco

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Le Mans
  • Estac Troyes 2–0 Le Mans
  • Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans
  • Le Mans 0–3 Toulouse
  • Le Mans 2–1 Lorient
  • Le Mans 2–2 Lens
Monaco
  • Monaco 2–0 FC Nordsjaelland
  • Paris FC 3–1 Monaco
  • Monaco 1–1 Lille
  • Monaco 3–0 SC Freiburg
  • Lorient 1–0 Monaco
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Le Mans 9 · Monaco 9. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Le Mans 40% · 2026-11-07 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.97
Model goal expectation · 2 1.63
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
BTTS 50%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Le Mans 0.97 · Monaco 1.63.
1 22% · X 25% · 2 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 12.2%
1:1 11.8%
0:2 9.9%
1:2 9.6%
0:0 7.5%
1:0 7.2%
2:1 5.7%
0:3 5.4%
1:3 5.2%
2:2 4.6%
2:0 3.5%
2:3 2.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Monaco Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89

Team Comparison

Le Mans Monaco
17 League Position 7
7 Points 15
11% Win % 44%
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11

Venue Form

Le Mans at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Monaco Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Le Mans
L D L W D
Monaco
W L D W L

More Ligue 1 Predictions

Auxerre vs Paris FC
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 71%
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 86%
Angers vs Nice
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 54%
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 45%
LE Havre AC vs Lorient
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 45%

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01

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02

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03

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Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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