St. Mirren vs Hibernian Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 28 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.72
xG Away 1.52
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
BTTS 40%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Mirren an expected 0.7 goals and Hibernian an expected 1.5 goals. St. Mirren have a 18% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Hibernian at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 16.1%
0:2 12.3%
1:1 11.7%
0:0 10.6%
1:2 8.9%
1:0 7.7%
0:3 6.2%
1:3 4.5%
2:1 4.2%
2:2 3.2%
2:0 2.8%
0:4 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Hibernian Win
Probability 56%
Predicted Odds 1.79
Market Odds 1.9

Team Comparison

St. Mirren Hibernian
10 League Position 5
30 Points 51
21% Win % 39%
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

St. Mirren at Home
W1 D1 L4 (6 games)
17% win rate
Hibernian Away
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

St. Mirren
W L L L L
Hibernian
L W W L