1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.60
xG Away
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Dundee an expected 1.6 goals and Kilmarnock an expected 1.2 goals. Dundee have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Kilmarnock at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
1:0
9.5%
2:1
9.3%
2:0
7.6%
0:1
7.3%
1:2
7.1%
0:0
6%
2:2
5.7%
3:1
5%
0:2
4.4%
3:0
4.1%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dundee Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Dundee | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 11 |
| 33 | Points | 28 |
| 24% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.97 |
Venue Form
Dundee at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Kilmarnock Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Dundee
W
W
W
Kilmarnock
L
W
D
W
L
