1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aberdeen an expected 1.1 goals and Falkirk an expected 1.3 goals. Aberdeen have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Falkirk at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
0:1
11.1%
1:0
9.5%
1:2
8.6%
0:0
8.3%
0:2
7.5%
2:1
7.3%
2:0
5.5%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
3.8%
0:3
3.3%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Falkirk Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Aberdeen | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 6 |
| 33 | Points | 46 |
| 27% | Win % | 39% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Aberdeen at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Falkirk Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Aberdeen
D
L
W
W
W
Falkirk
D
D
L
L
