Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers FC Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 28 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.30
xG Away 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 50%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Heart of Midlothian an expected 1.3 goals and Rangers FC an expected 1.1 goals. Heart of Midlothian have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Rangers FC at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.9%
1:0 11.2%
0:1 9.9%
0:0 8.6%
2:1 8.4%
1:2 7.4%
2:0 7.3%
0:2 5.7%
2:2 4.8%
3:1 3.6%
3:0 3.2%
1:3 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Heart of Midlothian Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5
Market Odds 2.66

Team Comparison

Heart of Midlothian Rangers FC
1 League Position 2
70 Points 69
64% Win % 58%
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94

Venue Form

Heart of Midlothian at Home
W3 D0 L1 (4 games)
75% win rate
Rangers FC Away
W1 D2 L2 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian
W W W L
Rangers FC
W D L L D

Head to Head

04 May 2026 Premiership
Heart of Midlothian 2 : 1 Rangers FC
W
15 Feb 2026 Premiership
Rangers FC 4 : 2 Heart of Midlothian
L
21 Dec 2025 Premiership
Heart of Midlothian 2 : 1 Rangers FC
W