St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 17 May 2026 · Premiership
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.06
xG Away 1.34
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS 48%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Mirren an expected 1.1 goals and Dundee Utd an expected 1.3 goals. St. Mirren have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Dundee Utd at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.9%
0:1 12.2%
1:0 9.6%
0:0 9.1%
1:2 8.6%
0:2 8.2%
2:1 6.8%
2:0 5.1%
2:2 4.6%
1:3 3.9%
0:3 3.7%
3:1 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Dundee Utd Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

St. Mirren Dundee Utd
10 League Position 7
30 Points 40
21% Win % 27%
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64

Venue Form

St. Mirren at Home
W1 D1 L4 (6 games)
17% win rate
Dundee Utd Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

St. Mirren
W L L L L
Dundee Utd
W L L

Head to Head

03 Mar 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd 2 : 1 ST Mirren
L
06 Dec 2025 Premiership
ST Mirren 2 : 0 Dundee Utd
L
25 Oct 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd 3 : 1 ST Mirren
L