1
29%
Home Win
3.4
X
27%
Draw
3.66
2
43%
Away Win
2.31
xG Home
1.06
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Mirren an expected 1.1 goals and Dundee Utd an expected 1.3 goals. St. Mirren have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Dundee Utd at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
0:1
12.2%
1:0
9.6%
0:0
9.1%
1:2
8.6%
0:2
8.2%
2:1
6.8%
2:0
5.1%
2:2
4.6%
1:3
3.9%
0:3
3.7%
3:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dundee Utd Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| St. Mirren | Dundee Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 7 |
| 30 | Points | 40 |
| 21% | Win % | 27% |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
Venue Form
St. Mirren at Home
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Dundee Utd Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
St. Mirren
L
L
L
D
Dundee Utd
L
L
Head to Head
Dundee Utd
2 : 1
ST Mirren
L
ST Mirren
2 : 0
Dundee Utd
L
Dundee Utd
3 : 1
ST Mirren
L