1
14%
Home Win
7.12
X
23%
Draw
4.4
2
63%
Away Win
1.58
xG Home
0.68
xG Away
1.76
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Mirren an expected 0.7 goals and Celtic an expected 1.8 goals. St. Mirren have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Celtic at 63%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.3%
0:2
13.4%
1:1
10.5%
1:2
9.2%
0:0
8.7%
0:3
7.9%
1:0
5.9%
1:3
5.4%
2:1
3.6%
0:4
3.5%
2:2
3.1%
1:4
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Celtic Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| St. Mirren | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 3 |
| 30 | Points | 67 |
| 21% | Win % | 64% |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
St. Mirren at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Celtic Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
St. Mirren
L
L
D
Celtic
W
W
W
