1
87%
Home Win
1.15
X
9%
Draw
11.1
2
4%
Away Win
26.74
xG Home
3.16
xG Away
0.56
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sporting CP an expected 3.2 goals and Guimaraes an expected 0.6 goals. Sporting CP have a 87% win probability, draw stands at 9%, and Guimaraes at 4%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
12.8%
2:0
12.1%
4:0
10.1%
1:0
7.7%
3:1
7.1%
2:1
6.8%
4:1
5.6%
1:1
4.3%
0:0
2.4%
3:2
2%
2:2
1.9%
4:2
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sporting CP Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 87% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.15 |
| Market Odds | 1.22 |
Team Comparison
| Sporting CP | Guimaraes | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 9 |
| 82 | Points | 42 |
| 74% | Win % | 35% |
| 2.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Sporting CP at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Guimaraes Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Sporting CP
W
D
L
Guimaraes
L
W
W
Head to Head
Sporting CP
4 : 0
Guimaraes
W
Sporting CP
1 : 2
Guimaraes
L
Guimaraes
1 : 4
Sporting CP
W