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Alverca vs Casa Pia AC — Prediction

Alverca Alverca
1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Primeira Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Primeira Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Alverca
  • Benfica 1–0 Alverca
  • Alverca 0–1 Arouca
  • Famalicao 1–4 Alverca
  • Alverca 1–0 Rio Ave FC
  • Nacional 1–3 Alverca
Casa Pia AC
  • Casa Pia AC 0–2 Sporting CP
  • Estrela da Amadora 0–2 Casa Pia AC
  • Estoril 0–0 Casa Pia AC
  • Casa Pia AC 1–4 FC Porto
  • Guimaraes 0–0 Casa Pia AC
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Alverca 34 · Casa Pia AC 34. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:50 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Alverca 43% · 2026-11-06 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.39
Model goal expectation · 2 0.96
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
BTTS 46%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Alverca 1.39 · Casa Pia AC 0.96.
1 47% · X 27% · 2 26%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.2%
1:1 12.7%
0:0 9.5%
2:0 9.2%
0:1 9.2%
2:1 8.8%
1:2 6.1%
0:2 4.4%
2:2 4.3%
3:0 4.3%
3:1 4.1%
3:2 2%

About this assessment

Model outcome Alverca Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Alverca Casa Pia AC
11 League Position 16
39 Points 30
29% Win % 18%
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68

Venue Form

Alverca at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Casa Pia AC Away
W1 D2 L0 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Alverca
L L W W W
Casa Pia AC
L W D L D

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01

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02

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03

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Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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