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Sporting CP vs Moreirense — Prediction

Sporting CP Sporting CP
3 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Primeira Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Moreirense Moreirense

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC
Competition
Primeira Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Sporting CP
  • Shakhtar Donetsk 0–1 Sporting CP
  • Casa Pia AC 0–2 Sporting CP
  • Sporting CP 1–2 Académico Viseu
  • Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca
  • Famalicao 1–1 Sporting CP
Moreirense
  • Moreirense 2–1 Estrela da Amadora
  • Estoril 0–3 Moreirense
  • Guimaraes 1–1 Moreirense
  • Moreirense 3–1 Marítimo
  • Moreirense 0–4 Benfica
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Sporting CP 34 · Moreirense 34. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:50 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Sporting CP 76% · 2026-11-06 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 3.04
Model goal expectation · 2 0.53
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
BTTS 39%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Sporting CP 3.04 · Moreirense 0.53.
1 87% · X 10% · 2 4%.

Correct Score Predictions

3:0 13.2%
2:0 13%
4:0 10%
1:0 8.6%
3:1 7%
2:1 6.9%
4:1 5.3%
1:1 4.5%
0:0 2.8%
3:2 1.9%
2:2 1.8%
0:1 1.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Sporting CP Win
Probability 87%
Predicted Odds 1.15

Team Comparison

Sporting CP Moreirense
2 League Position 7
82 Points 43
74% Win % 35%
2.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44

Venue Form

Sporting CP at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
Moreirense Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Sporting CP
W W L D D
Moreirense
W W D W L

More Primeira Liga Predictions

Famalicao vs Arouca
Fri 06 Nov Tip: 1 · 62%
Alverca vs Casa Pia AC
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 47%
Nacional vs Académico Viseu
Sat 07 Nov

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01

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02

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03

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Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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