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Estrela da Amadora vs Benfica — Prediction

Estrela da Amadora Estrela da Amadora
0 – 2
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Primeira Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Benfica Benfica

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC
Competition
Primeira Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Estrela da Amadora
  • Moreirense 2–1 Estrela da Amadora
  • Estrela da Amadora 0–2 Casa Pia AC
  • Arouca 1–0 Estrela da Amadora
  • Estrela da Amadora 0–2 Académico Viseu
  • Rio Ave FC 3–3 Estrela da Amadora
Benfica
  • Benfica 1–0 Alverca
  • Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica
  • Benfica 2–0 Guimaraes
  • FC Porto 3–1 Benfica
  • AC Milan 0–2 Benfica
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Estrela da Amadora 34 · Benfica 34. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Benfica 54% · 2026-11-07 00:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.66
Model goal expectation · 2 2.47
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
BTTS 44%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Estrela da Amadora 0.66 · Benfica 2.47.
1 8% · X 15% · 2 77%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:2 13.3%
0:3 11%
0:1 10.8%
1:2 8.8%
1:3 7.3%
1:1 7.1%
0:4 6.8%
1:4 4.5%
0:0 4.3%
2:2 2.9%
1:0 2.9%
2:3 2.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Benfica Win
Probability 77%
Predicted Odds 1.3

Team Comparison

Estrela da Amadora Benfica
15 League Position 3
30 Points 80
18% Win % 68%
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 2.18
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74

Venue Form

Estrela da Amadora at Home
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate
Benfica Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Estrela da Amadora
L L L L D
Benfica
W W W L W

More Primeira Liga Predictions

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Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 47%
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Sat 07 Nov
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Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 87%
Estoril vs Marítimo
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Rio Ave FC vs SC Braga
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 67%

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A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.