1
88%
Home Win
1.13
X
8%
Draw
12.2
2
3%
Away Win
32.47
xG Home
3.22
xG Away
0.50
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sporting CP an expected 3.2 goals and Alverca an expected 0.5 goals. Sporting CP have a 88% win probability, draw stands at 8%, and Alverca at 3%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
13.5%
2:0
12.5%
4:0
10.8%
1:0
7.8%
3:1
6.8%
2:1
6.3%
4:1
5.4%
1:1
3.9%
0:0
2.4%
3:2
1.7%
2:2
1.6%
4:2
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sporting CP Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 88% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.14 |
| Market Odds | 1.21 |
Team Comparison
| Sporting CP | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 11 |
| 82 | Points | 39 |
| 74% | Win % | 29% |
| 2.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Sporting CP at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Alverca Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Sporting CP
W
D
L
Alverca
L
L
