1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.33
xG Away
0.92
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Spartak Moscow an expected 1.3 goals and Rubin an expected 0.9 goals. Spartak Moscow have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Rubin at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14%
1:1
12.9%
0:0
10.5%
0:1
9.7%
2:0
9.4%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
5.9%
0:2
4.4%
3:0
4.2%
2:2
3.9%
3:1
3.8%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Spartak Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Spartak Moscow | Rubin | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 8 |
| 52 | Points | 43 |
| 50% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Spartak Moscow at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Rubin Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Spartak Moscow
W
W
Rubin
D
