1
52%
Home Win
1.92
X
27%
Draw
3.68
2
21%
Away Win
4.8
xG Home
1.42
xG Away
0.79
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Spartak Moscow an expected 1.4 goals and FC Rostov an expected 0.8 goals. Spartak Moscow have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and FC Rostov at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.6%
1:1
12.3%
2:0
11.1%
0:0
10.9%
2:1
8.7%
0:1
8.6%
3:0
5.2%
1:2
4.9%
3:1
4.1%
2:2
3.5%
0:2
3.4%
4:0
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Spartak Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Spartak Moscow | FC Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 10 |
| 52 | Points | 33 |
| 50% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
Venue Form
FC Rostov Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Rostov
W
