FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.92
xG Away 1.40
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Rostov an expected 0.9 goals and Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 1.4 goals. FC Rostov have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Lokomotiv Moscow at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.7%
1:1 12.7%
0:0 9.8%
0:2 9.6%
1:0 9%
1:2 8.9%
2:1 5.8%
0:3 4.5%
2:0 4.2%
1:3 4.1%
2:2 4.1%
2:3 1.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Lokomotiv Moscow Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

FC Rostov Lokomotiv Moscow
10 League Position 3
33 Points 53
27% Win % 47%
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3

Venue Form

FC Rostov at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Lokomotiv Moscow Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

FC Rostov
W
Lokomotiv Moscow
W