1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.92
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Rostov an expected 0.9 goals and Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 1.4 goals. FC Rostov have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Lokomotiv Moscow at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.7%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
9.8%
0:2
9.6%
1:0
9%
1:2
8.9%
2:1
5.8%
0:3
4.5%
2:0
4.2%
1:3
4.1%
2:2
4.1%
2:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lokomotiv Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| FC Rostov | Lokomotiv Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 3 |
| 33 | Points | 53 |
| 27% | Win % | 47% |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
Venue Form
FC Rostov at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Lokomotiv Moscow Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Rostov
W
Lokomotiv Moscow
W