1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.85
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
22%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Zenit Saint Petersburg an expected 1.9 goals and Makhachkala an expected 0.3 goals. Zenit Saint Petersburg have a 76% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Makhachkala at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
21.5%
2:0
19.9%
3:0
12.3%
0:0
11.6%
1:1
6.5%
2:1
6%
4:0
5.7%
3:1
3.7%
0:1
3.5%
4:1
1.7%
1:2
1%
2:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Zenit Saint Petersburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 76% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.32 |
| Market Odds | 1.4 |
Team Comparison
| Zenit Saint Petersburg | Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 14 |
| 68 | Points | 26 |
| 67% | Win % | 17% |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.63 |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
Venue Form
Zenit Saint Petersburg at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Makhachkala Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Zenit Saint Petersburg
L
Makhachkala
L