1
20%
Home Win
5.03
X
25%
Draw
4.06
2
55%
Away Win
1.8
xG Home
0.87
xG Away
1.64
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shimizu S-Pulse an expected 0.9 goals and Kashiwa Reysol an expected 1.6 goals. Shimizu S-Pulse have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Kashiwa Reysol at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.3%
1:1
11.6%
0:2
10.9%
1:2
9.5%
0:0
8.2%
1:0
7.1%
0:3
6%
1:3
5.2%
2:1
5%
2:2
4.1%
2:0
3.1%
0:4
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashiwa Reysol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 2 |
| 44 | Points | 75 |
| 29% | Win % | 55% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
Venue Form
Shimizu S-Pulse at Home
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
Kashiwa Reysol Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
D
D
L
L
Kashiwa Reysol
W
L
L
