1
37%
Home Win
2.73
X
25%
Draw
4
2
38%
Away Win
2.61
xG Home
1.41
xG Away
1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shimizu S-Pulse an expected 1.4 goals and Gamba Osaka an expected 1.4 goals. Shimizu S-Pulse have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Gamba Osaka at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.7%
1:2
8.5%
0:1
8.3%
2:1
8.3%
1:0
8.1%
0:2
6%
2:2
6%
0:0
5.8%
2:0
5.7%
1:3
4.1%
3:1
3.9%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shimizu S-Pulse Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 9 |
| 44 | Points | 57 |
| 29% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Shimizu S-Pulse at Home
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
Gamba Osaka Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
D
D
L
L
Gamba Osaka
L
L
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka
2 : 2
Shimizu S-pulse
D
Shimizu S-pulse
0 : 0
Gamba Osaka
D
Gamba Osaka
1 : 0
Shimizu S-pulse
L