1
39%
Home Win
2.58
X
28%
Draw
3.57
2
33%
Away Win
3
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shimizu S-Pulse an expected 1.2 goals and FC Tokyo an expected 1.1 goals. Shimizu S-Pulse have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and FC Tokyo at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
1:0
11.8%
0:1
10.7%
0:0
9.6%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
7.4%
2:0
7.2%
0:2
6%
2:2
4.5%
3:1
3.3%
3:0
3%
1:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shimizu S-Pulse Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Shimizu S-Pulse | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 11 |
| 44 | Points | 50 |
| 29% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Shimizu S-Pulse at Home
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
FC Tokyo Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
D
D
L
L
FC Tokyo
D
W
