SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shandong Taishan Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 01 Aug 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.92
xG Away 1.44
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
BTTS 65%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives SHANGHAI SIPG an expected 1.9 goals and Shandong Taishan an expected 1.4 goals. SHANGHAI SIPG have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Shandong Taishan at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9.6%
2:1 9.2%
1:2 6.9%
1:0 6.7%
2:2 6.6%
2:0 6.4%
3:1 5.9%
0:1 5%
3:2 4.2%
3:0 4.1%
0:2 3.6%
0:0 3.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick SHANGHAI SIPG Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04
Market Odds 2.17

Team Comparison

SHANGHAI SIPG Shandong Taishan
5 League Position 4
42 Points 44
45% Win % 52%
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.97
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62

Venue Form

SHANGHAI SIPG at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
Shandong Taishan Away
W2 D0 L3 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

SHANGHAI SIPG
D D
Shandong Taishan
W L L W L