1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.43
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives SHANGHAI SIPG an expected 1.4 goals and Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.3 goals. SHANGHAI SIPG have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Chengdu Rongcheng at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
9.5%
2:1
8.7%
0:1
8.5%
1:2
7.8%
2:0
6.8%
0:0
6.6%
2:2
5.6%
0:2
5.5%
3:1
4.1%
1:3
3.3%
3:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SHANGHAI SIPG Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| SHANGHAI SIPG | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 1 |
| 42 | Points | 52 |
| 45% | Win % | 52% |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
SHANGHAI SIPG at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Chengdu Rongcheng Away
W2
D3
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
SHANGHAI SIPG
D
D
Chengdu Rongcheng
D
D
D
W
W