SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Rongcheng Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.43
xG Away 1.28
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 55%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives SHANGHAI SIPG an expected 1.4 goals and Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.3 goals. SHANGHAI SIPG have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Chengdu Rongcheng at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.2%
1:0 9.5%
2:1 8.7%
0:1 8.5%
1:2 7.8%
2:0 6.8%
0:0 6.6%
2:2 5.6%
0:2 5.5%
3:1 4.1%
1:3 3.3%
3:0 3.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick SHANGHAI SIPG Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5
Market Odds 2.66

Team Comparison

SHANGHAI SIPG Chengdu Rongcheng
5 League Position 1
42 Points 52
45% Win % 52%
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21

Venue Form

SHANGHAI SIPG at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
Chengdu Rongcheng Away
W2 D3 L0 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

SHANGHAI SIPG
D D
Chengdu Rongcheng
D D D W W