1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives SHANGHAI SIPG an expected 1.5 goals and Beijing Guoan an expected 1.4 goals. SHANGHAI SIPG have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Beijing Guoan at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
8.3%
1:0
8%
0:1
7.9%
2:2
6.1%
2:0
5.9%
0:2
5.6%
0:0
5.5%
3:1
4.2%
1:3
4%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SHANGHAI SIPG Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| SHANGHAI SIPG | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 3 |
| 42 | Points | 47 |
| 45% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
SHANGHAI SIPG at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Beijing Guoan Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
SHANGHAI SIPG
D
D
Beijing Guoan
W
D
W
