1
54%
Home Win
1.84
X
23%
Draw
4.27
2
22%
Away Win
4.49
xG Home
1.77
xG Away
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives SC Freiburg an expected 1.8 goals and Werder Bremen an expected 1.0 goals. SC Freiburg have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Werder Bremen at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.1%
1:0
10.6%
2:1
9.8%
2:0
9.4%
0:1
6.3%
0:0
6%
1:2
5.8%
3:1
5.8%
3:0
5.5%
2:2
5.1%
0:2
3.3%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SC Freiburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| SC Freiburg | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 15 |
| 47 | Points | 32 |
| 38% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
SC Freiburg at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Werder Bremen Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
SC Freiburg
D
W
Werder Bremen
L
D
L
