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SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin — Prediction

3 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Bundesliga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

SC Freiburg
  • Trabzonspor 0–1 SC Freiburg
  • FC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg
  • SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg
  • SC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern Munich
  • Monaco 3–0 SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
  • Union Berlin 1–1 FC Koln
  • FC Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin
  • Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund
  • Bayern Munich 7–0 Union Berlin
  • Union Berlin 1–3 FC Schalke 04
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: SC Freiburg 8 · Union Berlin 8. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: SC Freiburg 74% · 2026-11-07 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 3.30
Model goal expectation · 2 0.58
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
BTTS 42%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: SC Freiburg 3.30 · Union Berlin 0.58.
1 88% · X 8% · 2 4%.

Correct Score Predictions

3:0 12.4%
2:0 11.3%
4:0 10.2%
3:1 7.2%
1:0 6.8%
2:1 6.5%
4:1 5.9%
1:1 4%
3:2 2.1%
0:0 2.1%
2:2 1.9%
4:2 1.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome SC Freiburg Win
Probability 88%
Predicted Odds 1.14

Team Comparison

SC Freiburg Union Berlin
3 League Position 16
16 Points 7
63% Win % 13%
2.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2.38

Venue Form

SC Freiburg at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Union Berlin Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

SC Freiburg
W W W L L
Union Berlin
D D D L L

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.