SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction

1 – 3
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.06
xG Away 3.44
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
BTTS 63%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives SC Freiburg an expected 1.1 goals and Bayern Munich an expected 3.4 goals. SC Freiburg have a 8% win probability, draw stands at 11%, and Bayern Munich at 81%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 82%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:3 8%
0:3 7.5%
1:2 7%
1:4 6.9%
0:2 6.6%
0:4 6.5%
2:3 4.2%
1:1 4%
0:1 3.8%
2:2 3.7%
2:4 3.6%
2:1 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Bayern Munich Win
Probability 81%
Predicted Odds 1.23
Market Odds 1.31

Team Comparison

SC Freiburg Bayern Munich
7 League Position 1
47 Points 89
38% Win % 82%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 3.59
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06

Venue Form

SC Freiburg at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
Bayern Munich Away
W3 D1 L0 (4 games)
75% win rate

Recent Form

SC Freiburg
W D W
Bayern Munich
W D W W