1
70%
Home Win
1.43
X
18%
Draw
5.57
2
12%
Away Win
8.14
xG Home
2.27
xG Away
0.84
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives SC Braga an expected 2.3 goals and Guimaraes an expected 0.8 goals. SC Braga have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Guimaraes at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11.5%
1:0
10.1%
2:1
9.6%
3:0
8.7%
1:1
8.5%
3:1
7.3%
4:0
5%
0:0
4.5%
4:1
4.2%
2:2
4%
0:1
3.7%
1:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SC Braga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| SC Braga | Guimaraes | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 9 |
| 59 | Points | 42 |
| 47% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
SC Braga at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Guimaraes Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
SC Braga
D
D
W
Guimaraes
L
W
W
