1
53%
Home Win
1.87
X
24%
Draw
4.15
2
23%
Away Win
4.44
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives SC Braga an expected 1.7 goals and GIL Vicente an expected 1.0 goals. SC Braga have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and GIL Vicente at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
1:0
11.3%
2:1
9.7%
2:0
9.6%
0:1
6.8%
0:0
6.7%
1:2
5.8%
3:1
5.5%
3:0
5.4%
2:2
4.9%
0:2
3.4%
3:2
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SC Braga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| SC Braga | GIL Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 6 |
| 59 | Points | 50 |
| 47% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
SC Braga at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
GIL Vicente Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
SC Braga
D
D
W
GIL Vicente
D
