1
74%
Home Win
1.35
X
16%
Draw
6.32
2
10%
Away Win
9.83
xG Home
2.50
xG Away
0.82
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives SC Braga an expected 2.5 goals and Estrela da Amadora an expected 0.8 goals. SC Braga have a 74% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Estrela da Amadora at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11.3%
3:0
9.4%
2:1
9.3%
1:0
9.1%
3:1
7.7%
1:1
7.4%
4:0
5.9%
4:1
4.8%
2:2
3.8%
0:0
3.6%
3:2
3.1%
1:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SC Braga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 74% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.35 |
| Market Odds | 1.44 |
Team Comparison
| SC Braga | Estrela da Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 15 |
| 59 | Points | 30 |
| 47% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
Venue Form
SC Braga at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Estrela da Amadora Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
SC Braga
D
D
W
Estrela da Amadora
L
L
