1
67%
Home Win
1.49
X
17%
Draw
5.8
2
15%
Away Win
6.46
xG Home
2.54
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives SC Braga an expected 2.5 goals and Estoril an expected 1.2 goals. SC Braga have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Estoril at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.2%
2:0
8%
3:1
7.8%
1:1
7.3%
3:0
6.7%
1:0
6.3%
2:2
5.4%
4:1
5%
3:2
4.5%
4:0
4.3%
1:2
4.2%
4:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SC Braga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| SC Braga | Estoril | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 10 |
| 59 | Points | 39 |
| 47% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
SC Braga at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Estoril Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
SC Braga
D
D
W
Estoril
D
D
L
