1
27%
Home Win
3.75
X
27%
Draw
3.71
2
46%
Away Win
2.16
xG Home
0.99
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sassuolo an expected 1.0 goals and AC Milan an expected 1.4 goals. Sassuolo have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and AC Milan at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.8%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
9.1%
1:0
9.1%
0:2
9%
1:2
8.9%
2:1
6.3%
2:0
4.5%
2:2
4.4%
0:3
4.2%
1:3
4.2%
3:1
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AC Milan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Sassuolo | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 5 |
| 49 | Points | 70 |
| 37% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
Venue Form
Sassuolo at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
AC Milan Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Sassuolo
W
W
AC Milan
D
L
W
