1
44%
Home Win
2.27
X
29%
Draw
3.45
2
27%
Away Win
3.71
xG Home
1.24
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Como an expected 1.2 goals and AS Roma an expected 0.9 goals. Como have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and AS Roma at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.5%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
11.7%
0:1
10.6%
2:0
9%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
5.9%
0:2
4.8%
3:0
3.7%
2:2
3.7%
3:1
3.4%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Como Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Como | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 71 | Points | 73 |
| 53% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Como at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
AS Roma Away
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Como
W
D
AS Roma
W
W
W
D
