1
81%
Home Win
1.24
X
13%
Draw
7.47
2
6%
Away Win
17.79
xG Home
2.52
xG Away
0.52
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Inter an expected 2.5 goals and Parma an expected 0.5 goals. Inter have a 81% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Parma at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
15.2%
3:0
12.8%
1:0
12%
4:0
8.1%
2:1
7.9%
3:1
6.6%
1:1
6.2%
0:0
4.8%
4:1
4.2%
0:1
2.5%
2:2
2%
3:2
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Inter Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 81% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.23 |
| Market Odds | 1.31 |
Team Comparison
| Inter | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 13 |
| 87 | Points | 45 |
| 71% | Win % | 29% |
| 2.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.74 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Inter at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Parma Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Inter
W
W
W
Parma
L
L
W
Head to Head
Inter
2 : 0
Parma
W
Parma
0 : 2
Inter
W
Parma
2 : 2
Inter
D
