1
18%
Home Win
5.49
X
24%
Draw
4.21
2
58%
Away Win
1.72
xG Home
0.84
xG Away
1.71
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cagliari an expected 0.8 goals and Juventus an expected 1.7 goals. Cagliari have a 18% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Juventus at 58%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.4%
0:2
11.4%
1:1
11.2%
1:2
9.6%
0:0
7.8%
1:0
6.6%
0:3
6.5%
1:3
5.5%
2:1
4.7%
2:2
4%
0:4
2.8%
2:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Juventus Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Cagliari | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 6 |
| 43 | Points | 69 |
| 29% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.61 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
Venue Form
Cagliari at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Juventus Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Cagliari
W
L
W
Juventus
L
W
D
