Santos Laguna vs Atlas Prediction

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0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · Liga MX
1 26%
Home Win 3.84
X 27%
Draw 3.73
2 47%
Away Win 2.12
xG Home 0.98
xG Away 1.42
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Santos Laguna an expected 1.0 goals and Atlas an expected 1.4 goals. Santos Laguna have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Atlas at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 12.8%
1:1 12.6%
0:2 9.1%
0:0 9%
1:2 9%
1:0 8.9%
2:1 6.2%
2:2 4.4%
2:0 4.4%
0:3 4.3%
1:3 4.3%
2:3 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Atlas Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Santos Laguna Atlas
18 League Position 6
12 Points 26
18% Win % 41%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
2.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06

Venue Form

Santos Laguna at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Atlas Away
W3 D0 L1 (4 games)
75% win rate

Recent Form

Santos Laguna
W L
Atlas
W L W W

Head to Head

19 Apr 2026 Liga MX
Santos Laguna 0 : 1 Atlas
W
14 Sep 2025 Liga MX
Atlas 2 : 2 Santos Laguna
D
23 Feb 2025 Liga MX
Santos Laguna 2 : 0 Atlas
L