1
19%
Home Win
5.22
X
25%
Draw
3.94
2
55%
Away Win
1.8
xG Home
0.80
xG Away
1.57
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santa Clara an expected 0.8 goals and SC Braga an expected 1.6 goals. Santa Clara have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and SC Braga at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.7%
1:1
11.8%
0:2
11.5%
0:0
9.4%
1:2
9.2%
1:0
7.5%
0:3
6%
1:3
4.8%
2:1
4.7%
2:2
3.7%
2:0
3%
0:4
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SC Braga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Santa Clara | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 4 |
| 36 | Points | 59 |
| 26% | Win % | 47% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Santa Clara at Home
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
SC Braga Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Santa Clara
W
W
W
W
SC Braga
L
D
L
W
